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UK Research Team declares Bawumia as the flagbarer for the NPP after survey

Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is predicted to emerge victorious in the special delegates elections of the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP) with 72.6%, according to a special delegates-based poll performed by Outcomes International Ghana and the Centre for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI) UK.

Following Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia are Alan Kyeremanten (7.7%), Ken Agyapong (4.3%), Kwabena Agyepong (1.8%), and Dr. Owusu Akoto (0.6%).The combined votes for the other 5 candidates total 1.3%, with 11.7% of voters still unknown.

Outcomes International Ghana and the Centre for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI) UK conducted a survey to identify the five contenders most likely to advance to the November 4, 2023, NPP Presidential primaries based on the results of the campaigns of all of the applicants in the NPP Special Delegates election.

The research also examined additional socio-demographic elements that will likely impact the outcome of the election on August 26. These included how religion, ethnicity, and location influence candidates’ chances of running successfully as well as the criteria used by delegates to evaluate candidates.

Considering an anticipated 300 NPP special delegates as the target demographic of the 961 electors in the electoral college, the poll was conducted in all 16 regions of the nation.

Multistage probability proportional to size sampling (PPS) with implicit stratification was employed in the research to lower survey operating costs and provide a more accurate picture of the nation.

The majority of the data was collected using CATI (computer-assisted telephone interviewing) technology.

Regional breakdown of the sample size. 11 special voters in Upper West were interviewed, In Upper East 17, also in North East 15, the Northern was 19, and 17 were interviewed in Savannah, Bono East 19, Bono 14, Ahafo 11, Ashanti 36, and Eastern 29.

Greater Accra Region had 29 people interviewed: Central 19, Western 19, Western North 15, Oti 11, and Volta Region 19.

Additionally, the split of the responses included 143 constituency chairs, 103 members of the regional executive, 33 members of parliament, nine members of the Council of Elders, eight members of the National Council, three former national officers, and one former national officer.

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